According to the Director of National Intelligence both the Ukrainian and Russian armies will try to refit and resupply to prepare for a counteroffensive after the winter.
The intelligence of USA believes that the reduced pace of fighting in Ukraine will continue in the coming months and does not see the willingness to Ukraine to resist, despite attacks on its electrical grid and other critical infrastructure during the winter, the Director of National Intelligence said this Saturday.
“We’re already seeing sort of a reduced pace of the conflict… and we hope that’s what we’ll see in the coming months,” he said. Avril Haines at the annual Reagan National Defense Forum in California.
He said that both the Ukrainian and Russian armies would try to refit and resupply to prepare for a counteroffensive after the winter. “Actually, we’re quite skeptical about whether or not the Russians will be prepared to do that. I think it’s more optimistic for the Ukrainians in that time frame.”
When asked about the effects of the Russian strikes on Ukraine’s power grid and other civilian infrastructure, Haines said the target of moscow was partly to undermine the Ukrainians’ will to resist, adding: “I think we are not seeing any evidence that it is being undermined at the moment.” in this point.”
He also said that Russia was seeking to affect Ukraine’s ability to process the conflict, adding that kyiv’s economy has been suffering a lot. “Obviously, over time, it can have an impact. The impact will depend on what they’re able to do, on the resilience of that critical infrastructure, on our ability to help them defend it.”
“Ukraine’s economy is suffering a lot. It’s been devastating and… obviously taking down the network will have an impact on that as well.”
Haines said he thought the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, he was surprised that his army had not achieved more. “I think there is more and more reporting on the challenges facing the military in Russia. But it’s still not clear to us if you have a full picture at this stage of how challenged they are…we see ammunition shortages, because of morale, supply problems, logistics, a whole series of concerns that they face.
Haines said Putin’s political goals in Ukraine did not appear to have changed, but US intelligence analysts think he might be willing to reduce their short-term military objectives “temporarily with the idea that he might come back for them later.”
He said that Russia appeared to be depleting its military reserves “quite quickly.” “It’s really quite extraordinary, and our own sense is that they’re not able to indigenously produce what they’re spending at this stage,” he said. “That’s why you see them going to other countries to try to get ammunition…and we’ve indicated that their precision ammunition is running out much faster in many ways.”
He said that Iran had supplied drones to Russia and Moscow was looking for other types of precision munitions Tehransomething that would be “very worrying in terms of its capacity.”
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